Wednesday, September 8, 2010

The "Silly Season" begins

Political observers often say that nobody pays attention to Fall elections until after Labor Day.  Well, Labor Day has come and gone and so it is worth briefly reflecting on where things stand here and nationally as the Congressional midterm and the gubernatorial races enter the hone stretch.

Nationally, the so-called "generic ballot" polling suggests that congressional races may be closer than many observers think although these same polls show Republicans significantly more motivated than their Democratic counterparts.

Here in Massachusetts, there hasn't been a ton of public polling but polls completed to date consistently show Governor Patrick leading...although the size of that lead seems to be shrinking (please note that this latter observation is based solely on evidence from the Rasmussen poll which may have some methodological issues).   In any event, the oft made observation that Cahill is playing the role of the spoiler for Baker seems to fit the facts. 

It will be very interesting to see if last night's debate changes this dynamic at all....I suspect not.

 

No comments:

Post a Comment